TOK-CC Deep Dive: Reconstruction Frontier Anomaly

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This note examines why tokcc_a0p25 has high matched-strategy router score while its baseline-normalized raw reconstruction loss is much larger than the other high-performing reconstruction families in the Apr27 paper basic-grid snapshot.

Setup

The source aggregate is path:experiments/synthetic_sequences/disentangled/analysis/aggregates/exp2_continuous_cvae-Apr27-paper-basic-grid_20260429. The analysis uses the 180 complete single-task runs and excludes the separate complete multi_task slice, which is analyzed in multitask.

The key implementation detail is that analysis/final_baseline_normalized_reconstruction_loss is a raw reconstruction ratio, not a bounded [0, 1] information measure. In the current metrics it is computed as raw reconstruction divided by a z-free reference scale; values larger than 1 are valid. Across the complete Apr27 rows, the test-scale proxy loss/test/reconstruction_loss / loss/test/distribution_normalized_reconstruction_loss has mean 0.0318 and standard deviation 0.0132.

At the family level, tokcc_a0p25 has mean baseline-normalized raw reconstruction 11.3377 and mean matched-strategy router score 0.7308, while its own token-concentration-corrected reconstruction component is 0.3213. The hybrid dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25 has mean baseline-normalized raw reconstruction 0.3622 and matched score 0.7163.

Family Summary

familynbase_norm_rawtoken_ccactive_objrouter_probestrategy_matchmatched_scorefinal_acc
raw360.92260.93490.02780.5040.99610.50210.9975
dist_norm360.36950.37220.36950.69710.99580.69390.9973
example_inv_surp360.38020.38370.34370.69170.99620.68890.9978
tokcc_a0p253611.33770.32130.32130.74010.98860.73080.995
dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25360.36220.36520.36350.72060.99470.71630.9969
Family metric heatmap

The heatmap uses column-standardized color and raw mean annotations, so each column should be read as a within-metric comparison across families. It shows the same split numerically: tokcc_a0p25 is extreme on raw reconstruction views, not on the token-corrected reconstruction objective or the router metrics.

Component Frontier Views

Component frontier grid

The baseline-normalized raw reconstruction panel makes tokcc_a0p25 look anomalous because that panel plots raw reconstruction scale. The token-level panel shows the complementary view: tokcc_a0p25 is no longer an obvious reconstruction outlier when judged by the component it actually optimizes.

Active objective frontier

The active-objective view uses the weighted reconstruction component from each loss setting. This is still not a universal loss scale, but it is the correct diagnostic for asking whether tokcc_a0p25 optimized the objective it was given.

Raw reconstruction versus TOK-CC component

This comparison separates the raw reconstruction ratio from the normalized concentration-corrected token objective. tokcc_a0p25 is high on the raw ratio and low on the TOK-CC component, which is exactly the metric/objective mismatch predicted by the loss definition.

Hybrid Control

TOK-CC versus hybrid paired comparisons

Matched task-level comparisons show what happens when the distribution-normalized raw reconstruction term is added back. Averaged over matched task, beta, and schedule cells, tokcc_a0p25 - dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25 changes matched score by 0.0145 but changes baseline-normalized raw reconstruction by 10.9755. This supports using the hybrid as a control: it preserves much of the TOK-CC router benefit while removing the raw reconstruction-scale anomaly.

Probe Decomposition

Probe decomposition

The matched score is the product of router probe accuracy and strategy-match rate. In this grid, final answer accuracy and strategy-match rate are high across many settings, so most of the family separation comes from router probe accuracy rather than from marginal task success.

Top Loss Settings

loss_settingnbase_norm_rawtoken_ccactive_objmatched_score
tokcc_a0p25_b0p01_lin10067.81270.03130.03130.8811
example_inv_surp_b0p01_lin10060.04870.04170.03960.8789
tokcc_a0p25_b0p1_lin100610.8830.0490.0490.8651
dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25_b0p01_lin10060.06340.05010.05580.8648
dist_norm_b0p01_lin10060.01720.01140.01730.8605
dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25_b0p1_lin10060.04520.03550.0390.85
dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25_b0p01_const60.01850.01420.01820.8479
tokcc_a0p25_b0p01_const69.31890.03640.03640.8471

Correlation Checks

groupcomponentnpearson_corr_with_matched_score
allbaseline_normalized_raw_reconstruction1800.0373
alltoken_cc_reconstruction180-0.9201
allactive_reconstruction_objective_loss180-0.6011
tokcc_a0p25baseline_normalized_raw_reconstruction36-0.2552
tokcc_a0p25token_cc_reconstruction36-0.8789
tokcc_a0p25active_reconstruction_objective_loss36-0.8789
Agent-drafted interpretation, pending human review

Working Hypotheses

Metric/objective mismatch is the strongest explanation. tokcc_a0p25 optimizes the normalized concentration-corrected token-weighted reconstruction term, not the raw baseline-normalized reconstruction ratio. Its high raw ratio says that broad teacher-forced raw sequence likelihood remains poor relative to the z-free scale; it does not by itself say that the latent variable lacks strategy information.

Strategy information appears more localized than full-output reconstruction. A router probe can succeed if z carries the strategy-discriminative aspects of y, even when the full raw reconstruction loss is high. The current aggregate does not expose token-level per-position attribution, so this remains an indirect inference from the gap between the raw ratio and the token-corrected objective.

The hybrid control is paper-useful. dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25 keeps matched score near the TOK-CC-only family while reducing baseline-normalized raw reconstruction by an order of magnitude. This makes it a cleaner method candidate when the paper wants both router factorization and a reconstruction-frontier story.

The [0, 1] intuition should be revised. Baseline-normalized reconstruction is better described as a ratio to the latent-free reference model, not a clipped information score. Values above 1 are meaningful and occur systematically for tokcc_a0p25 here.

Implications For Paper Figures

Agent-drafted interpretation, pending human review

The reconstruction-frontier claim should avoid treating baseline-normalized raw reconstruction as the single universal x-axis across all reconstruction objectives. A safer figure package is: use distribution/example/token component frontiers to show objective-specific behavior; use the active-objective frontier to explain tokcc_a0p25; and use dist_plus_tokcc_a0p25 when the text needs a single method that combines low raw reconstruction ratio with strong router factorization.

The main paper claim can still say that reconstruction shaping improves decodable routing, but the TOK-CC result suggests a sharper statement: a loss can improve strategy-decodable routing by emphasizing the strategy-relevant parts of reconstruction even when raw sequence-level reconstruction remains worse.

Repo-Side Artifacts

  • Deep-dive artifact directory: path:experiments/synthetic_sequences/disentangled/analysis/aggregates/exp2_continuous_cvae-Apr27-paper-basic-grid_20260429/tokcc_deepdive
  • Deep-dive findings JSON: path:experiments/synthetic_sequences/disentangled/analysis/aggregates/exp2_continuous_cvae-Apr27-paper-basic-grid_20260429/tokcc_deepdive/findings.json
  • Deep-dive manifest: path:experiments/synthetic_sequences/disentangled/analysis/aggregates/exp2_continuous_cvae-Apr27-paper-basic-grid_20260429/tokcc_deepdive/aggregate_manifest.json
  • Run-level diagnostics: path:experiments/synthetic_sequences/disentangled/analysis/aggregates/exp2_continuous_cvae-Apr27-paper-basic-grid_20260429/tokcc_deepdive/data/tokcc_deepdive_run_metrics.csv
  • Family summary: path:experiments/synthetic_sequences/disentangled/analysis/aggregates/exp2_continuous_cvae-Apr27-paper-basic-grid_20260429/tokcc_deepdive/data/tokcc_deepdive_family_summary.csv
  • Paired TOK-CC versus hybrid deltas: path:experiments/synthetic_sequences/disentangled/analysis/aggregates/exp2_continuous_cvae-Apr27-paper-basic-grid_20260429/tokcc_deepdive/data/tokcc_hybrid_paired_deltas.csv
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